Match Info

Polish Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Sosnowiec (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Trefl Sopot		Górnik Wałbrzych

	1	2
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.14	5.29	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.51	2.48
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	3.16 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
69.7%

Górnik Wałbrzych
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Górnik Wałbrzych has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trefl Sopot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Wałbrzych could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kacinas M.	15. Anderson A.
55. Schenk J.	21. Bojanowski M.
0. Scruggs P.	22. Jogela T.
11. Suurorg K.	24. Marchewka K.
12. Witlinski M.	91. Wyka D.
Substitutes
37. Addae Wusu D.	40. Benson B.
33. Goins K.	0. Cabbil Jr L.
3. Kiejzik S.	7. Garcia M.
7. Nowicki S.	41. Kulka G.
21. Zapala S.	16. Lapeta A.
	25. Puchalski M.
Coaches
. Larkas M.	. Adamek A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Trefl Sopot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trefl Sopot could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Trefl Sopot will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 359:336. (average 89.8:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefl Sopot won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 184:162. (average 92:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Legia Warsaw	83:80 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.02.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot	91:100 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	Falco Szombathely - Trefl Sopot	83:74 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
07.02.26	Trefl Sopot - MOSiR Krosno	94:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
03.02.26	UCAM Murcia - Trefl Sopot	92:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish Cup Basketball
19.02.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Górnik Wałbrzych	81:91 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.02.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot	91:100 ✺
07.02.26	Dziki Warszawa - Górnik Wałbrzych	78:84 ✺
25.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra	82:89 ✺
17.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Anwil Włocławek	61:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
15.02.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot	91:100
26.10.25	Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych	84:77
26.04.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot	83:75
28.12.24	Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych	100:85

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