Match Info

Lega A - Round 13

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: PalaTrieste (Trieste)

Referee: Valleriani D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	LBA TV


	Trieste		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.65	1.5
	2.56	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.67)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trieste
36.9%

Virtus Bologna
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Trieste - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trieste will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 50%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -5.5 - Virtus Bologna (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Virtus Bologna (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Brooks J.	21. Alston Jr. D.
22. Brown M.	31. Diarra A.
37. Ramsey J.	30. Morgan M.
4. Ross C.	7. Niang S.
9. Uthoff J.	6. Pajola A.
Substitutes
13. Candussi F.	45. Akele N.
8. Deangeli L.	22. Canka A.
18. Iannuzzi P.	35. Diouf M.
2. Martucci E.	23. Hackett D.
25. Moretti D.	34. Jallow K.
10. Ruzzier M.	11. Taylor B.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.	1. Vildoza L.
Coaches
. Gonzalez I.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Virtus Bologna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1255:1370. (average 73.8:80.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 683:715. (average 75.9:79.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Trieste - s.Oliver Wurzburg	77:90 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.12.25	Trieste - Reggiana	92:82 OT ✺
06.12.25	Dinamo Sassari - Trieste	85:80 ✺
23.11.25	Trieste - Olimpia Milano	86:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
26.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:97 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	86:76 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89 ✺
17.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	68:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	74:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	85:78
15.12.24	Virtus Bologna - Trieste	70:78
02.04.23	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	80:78
09.10.22	Virtus Bologna - Trieste	85:80
02.04.22	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	81:92
16.10.21	Virtus Bologna - Trieste	94:79
11.04.21	Virtus Bologna - Trieste	81:67

Upcoming Matches