Match Info

Lega A - Round 12

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Referee: Quarta D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Italy	LBA TV


	Virtus Bologna		Basket Brescia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	3.17 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
70.2%

Basket Brescia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Basket Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5 - Brescia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alston Jr. D.	2. Bilan M.
35. Diouf M.	8. Della V. A.
3. Edwards C.	18. Ivanovic N.
7. Niang S.	9. Ndour M.
6. Pajola A.	23. Rivers D.
Substitutes
8. Accorsi M.	10. Burnell J.
45. Akele N.	25. Cournooh D.
31. Diarra A.	6. Doneda A.
23. Hackett D.	3. Ferrero G.
30. Morgan M.	5. Massinburg C.
9. Smailagic A.	21. Mobio J.
11. Taylor B.	7. Santinon M.
Coaches
. Ivanovic D.	. Cotelli M.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 4.

Virtus Bologna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brescia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Brescia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Virtus Bologna is a strong favorite.

We predict that Brescia will win today's game, with odds of 3.12.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1720:1552. (average 86:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 857:756. (average 85.7:75.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89 ✺
17.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	68:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	74:63 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Hapoel Tel Aviv	74:79 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Basket Brescia - Varese	102:94 ✺
06.12.25	Reggiana - Basket Brescia	84:91 ✺
21.11.25	Basket Brescia - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	83:72 ✺
16.11.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	72:85 ✺
09.11.25	Basket Brescia - Trieste	98:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
17.06.25	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	74:96
14.06.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	75:65
12.06.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	90:87
14.04.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	91:79
01.12.24	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	98:97
25.03.24	Basket Brescia - Virtus Bologna	73:87
20.11.23	Virtus Bologna - Basket Brescia	88:76

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