Match Info

Euroleague - Round 16

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Udyanskyy E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Partizan Belgrade		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.85
	1.42	2.97
	1.46	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.94	Watch
	1.37	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	2.93 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan Belgrade
67.4%

Virtus Bologna
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Partizan Belgrade's performance.

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Partizan Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 167.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Partizan Belgrade will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Bonga I.	21. Alston Jr. D.
12. Brown S.	35. Diouf M.
24. Fernando B.	3. Edwards C.
9. Marinkovic V.	34. Jallow K.
2. Milton S.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
8. Bosnjakovic M.	45. Akele N.
33. Calathes N.	31. Diarra A.
88. Jones T.	23. Hackett D.
19. Lakic A.	30. Morgan M.
5. Osetkowski D.	7. Niang S.
22. Parker J.	6. Pajola A.
4. Washington D.	9. Smailagic A.
Coaches
. Ocokoljic M.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 2.

Partizan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Virtus Bologna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Partizan is the team to beat.

We predict that Partizan will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 670:610. (average 83.8:76.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 333:290. (average 83.3:72.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Adriatic League
14.12.25	FMP Beograd - Partizan Belgrade	79:91 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	79:76 ✺
Adriatic League
07.12.25	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Partizan Belgrade	85:92 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	92:85 ✺
25.11.25	Panathinaikos - Partizan Belgrade	91:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	74:63 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Hapoel Tel Aviv	74:79 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:77 ✺
Euroleague
05.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Dubai	79:78 ✺
25.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Virtus Bologna	66:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
05.02.25	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	71:81
23.10.24	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	69:70
02.02.24	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	88:84
28.12.23	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	75:77
07.03.23	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	79:88
20.10.22	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	90:62
Eurocup
05.02.20	Virtus Bologna - Partizan Belgrade	82:84

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