Match Info

NCAA

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos		UC Davis Aggies

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.47	2.45
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.47	2.65
	1.51	2.61
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	2.63 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
64%

UC Davis Aggies
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UC Santa Barbara Gauchos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UC Davis Aggies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC Santa Barbara won 1.

Recent form of UC Santa Barbara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UC Davis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, UC Santa Barbara has had a series of away games.

UC Santa Barbara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UC Santa Barbara won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1390:1358. (average 69.5:67.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UC Santa Barbara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 678:643. (average 67.8:64.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	74:65 ✺
01.01.26	Cal State Fullerton Titans - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	95:84 ✺
22.12.25	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Portland Pilots	79:61 ✺
17.12.25	Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	67:64 ✺
13.12.25	Utah Valley Wolverines - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	68:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- UC Davis Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	79:81 ✺
01.01.26	UC Davis Aggies - Cal State Northridge Matadors	89:80 ✺
21.12.25	Idaho State Bengals - UC Davis Aggies	83:93 ✺
17.12.25	UC Davis Aggies - Seattle Redhawks	78:79 ✺
13.12.25	Oregon Ducks - UC Davis Aggies	104:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	60:64
07.12.24	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	71:60
01.02.24	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	69:79
28.12.23	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	76:62
02.03.23	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	86:89
11.02.23	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies	84:74
24.02.22	UC Davis Aggies - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	69:76 OT (59:59)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - UC Davis Aggies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide