Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	UTRGV Vaqueros		Incarnate Word Cardinals

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.9	1.83
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.82	1.88
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UTRGV Vaqueros
49.6%

Incarnate Word Cardinals
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UTRGV Vaqueros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Incarnate Word Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UTRGV Vaqueros than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incarnate Word Cardinals than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

UTRGV Vaqueros - Incarnate Word Cardinals Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Incarnate Word (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incarnate Word (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:72

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

UTRGV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UTRGV has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, UTRGV won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 222:218. (average 74:72.7).

Including home matches between the teams, UTRGV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:140. (average 68.5:70).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas A&M-CC Islanders	59:63 ✺
31.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - Nicholls State Colonels	69:71 ✺
29.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - New Orleans Privateers	69:85 ✺
16.12.25	Lamar Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	72:83 ✺
11.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	58:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- Incarnate Word Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Incarnate Word Cardinals - Houston Christian Huskies	73:56 ✺
30.12.25	Incarnate Word Cardinals - Southeastern Louisiana Lions	79:70 ✺
21.12.25	Incarnate Word Cardinals - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	90:66 ✺
15.12.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Incarnate Word Cardinals	69:65 ✺
08.12.25	New Orleans Privateers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.02.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - Incarnate Word Cardinals	60:66
20.01.25	Incarnate Word Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	78:85
30.12.23	UTRGV Vaqueros - Incarnate Word Cardinals	77:74

UTRGV Vaqueros - Incarnate Word Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide