Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday


	UTRGV Vaqueros		Texas-Arlington Mavericks

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.58	2.25
	1.55	2.46
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.59	2.24
	1.62	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)	2.32 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UTRGV Vaqueros
59.3%

Texas-Arlington Mavericks
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UTRGV Vaqueros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Texas-Arlington Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UTRGV Vaqueros than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas-Arlington Mavericks than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas Arlington Mavericks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:71

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Preview

UTRGV has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Texas-Arlington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Texas-Arlington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UTRGV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 350:394. (average 70:78.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UTRGV won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 128:153. (average 64:76.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.12.25	UTRGV Vaqueros - Austin Peay Governors	63:50 ✺
03.12.25	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - UTRGV Vaqueros	73:60 ✺
24.11.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - UTRGV Vaqueros	87:73 ✺
11.11.25	Boise State Broncos - UTRGV Vaqueros	85:65 ✺
03.11.25	Baylor Bears - UTRGV Vaqueros	96:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Texas-Arlington Mavericks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.12.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	83:63 ✺
29.11.25	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	66:61 ✺
22.11.25	Weber State Wildcats - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	73:74 ✺
21.11.25	Campbell Fighting Camels - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	67:71 ✺
18.11.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	76:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.02.24	UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	70:89
18.01.24	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - UTRGV Vaqueros	91:73
09.02.23	UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	58:64
19.01.23	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - UTRGV Vaqueros	85:73
01.12.18	Texas-Arlington Mavericks - UTRGV Vaqueros	65:76

UTRGV Vaqueros - Texas-Arlington Mavericks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide