Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	UTRGV Vaqueros		Lamar Cardinals

	1	2
	1.32	3.3
	1.33	3.1
	1.34	3.28
	1.36	2.96	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.34	3.23
	1.33	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	3.21 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UTRGV Vaqueros
70.6%

Lamar Cardinals
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UTRGV Vaqueros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lamar Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UTRGV Vaqueros than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UTRGV Vaqueros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamar Cardinals than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lamar Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UTRGV Vaqueros - Lamar Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UTRGV won 3.

UTRGV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lamar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, UTRGV is the team to beat.

We predict that UTRGV will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, UTRGV won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 440:443. (average 73.3:73.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UTRGV won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 222:238. (average 74:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	UTRGV Vaqueros - Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	57:66 ✺
09.02.26	Nicholls State Colonels - UTRGV Vaqueros	72:92 ✺
07.02.26	New Orleans Privateers - UTRGV Vaqueros	76:95 ✺
02.02.26	UTRGV Vaqueros - Houston Christian Huskies	74:57 ✺
31.01.26	Incarnate Word Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	93:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Lamar Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Texas A&M-CC Islanders - Lamar Cardinals	76:63 ✺
09.02.26	Lamar Cardinals - Northwestern State Demons	68:70 ✺
07.02.26	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - Lamar Cardinals	84:74 ✺
02.02.26	Lamar Cardinals - Southeastern Louisiana Lions	73:54 ✺
31.01.26	Lamar Cardinals - McNeese State Cowboys	63:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
16.12.25	Lamar Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	72:83
08.02.25	Lamar Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	70:68
07.12.24	UTRGV Vaqueros - Lamar Cardinals	52:84
02.03.22	Lamar Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	63:67
02.02.22	UTRGV Vaqueros - Lamar Cardinals	93:79
23.11.18	UTRGV Vaqueros - Lamar Cardinals	77:75

UTRGV Vaqueros - Lamar Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide