Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Second round - Round 1

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	18:00	DAZN
Finland	19:00	DAZN
Greece	19:00	ERT 2
Sweden	18:00	DAZN
Ukraine	19:00	Suspilne Sport
International	16:00	FIBA TV


	Ukraine		Greece

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.62
	2.22	1.63
	2.22	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.53)	1.63 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ukraine
42.5%

Greece
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ukraine's performance.

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greece might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ukraine - Greece Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Greece will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ukraine: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Greece (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bobrov V. Dinamo Bucharest	37. Antetokounmpo K. Aris
50. Kovliar O. Buducnost	8. Calathes N. PAOK
10. Mykhailiuk S. Utah Jazz	2. Dorsey T. Olympiacos Piraeus
44. Skapintsev D. Hapoel Jerusalem	74. Netzipoglou O. Olympiacos Piraeus
5. Tkachenko I. Zadar	16. Papanikolaou K. Olympiacos Piraeus
Substitutes
6. Kobzystyi O.	43. Antetokounmpo T. Milwaukee Bucks
7. Lukashov D. Rigas Zelli	77. Bazinas A.
15. Novitskyi R. VEF Riga	11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos
14. Shelist D. Oviedo	29. Karagiannidis A. Promitheas
2. Shulga M. Boston Celtics	5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus
19. Sushkin Y. Kyiv Basket	44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos
17. Voinalovych A. Sabah Baku	7. Toliopoulos V. Aris
Coaches
. Bagatskis A.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

Ukraine is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ukraine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Greece is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Greece: Antetokounmpo G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ukraine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:99.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine basketball
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.26	Latvia - Ukraine	82:84 ✺
20.08.26	Ukraine - Arizona Wildcats	85:107 ✺
World Championship Basketball
05.07.26	Denmark - Ukraine	69:99 ✺
02.07.26	Ukraine - Georgia	95:76 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
28.06.26	Lithuania - Ukraine	92:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWW
- Greece basketball
Friendly International Basketball
24.08.26	Greece - Cyprus	82:75 ✺
22.08.26	Greece - Poland	89:81 ✺
World Championship Basketball
05.07.26	Greece - Portugal	56:71 ✺
02.07.26	Romania - Greece	73:66 ✺
02.03.26	Montenegro - Greece	65:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
06.09.22	Greece - Ukraine	99:79

Ukraine - Greece