Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moraca Sports Center (Podgorica) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Montenegro		Greece

	1	2
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	2.84	1.37
	3.07	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.96	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.17)	1.37 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montenegro
32%

Greece
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montenegro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montenegro's form might have worsened.

Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greece's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	0%	91.3%

Montenegro - Greece Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Montenegro (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Greece (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Greece will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Greece will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Montenegro (votes: 3 - 25%). Greece (votes: 9 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:78

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Lineups


22. Drobnjak I. Spartak Subotica	37. Antetokounmpo K. Aris
8. Hadzibegovic E. Studentski Centar	15. Charalampopoulos V. AEK Athens
2. Ilic A. Studentski Centar	33. Chougkaz N. PAOK
6. Ivanovic D. Podgorica	12. Kaklamanakis D. Peristeri
13. Jovanovic D. Buducnost	11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos
5. Needham D. Basquet Girona	5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus
19. Nikolic Z. Buducnost	44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos
30. Popovic P. Ilirija	55. Mitrou-Long E. Aris
80. Radoncic D. Leyma Coruna	6. Moraitis D. Iraklis
9. Vrbica M. Podgorica	74. Netzipoglou O. Olympiacos Piraeus
11. Vuceljic Z. Studentski Centar	16. Papanikolaou K. Olympiacos Piraeus
17. Zivanovic B. Sutjeska	7. Toliopoulos V. Panathinaikos
Coaches
. Zakelj A.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montenegro won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Greece: Antetokounmpo G. (Calf Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montenegro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 475:544. (average 67.9:77.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montenegro basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Greece - Montenegro	65:67 ✺
30.11.25	Romania - Montenegro	75:80 ✺
27.11.25	Montenegro - Portugal	62:83 ✺
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Montenegro - Great Britain	83:89 ✺
01.09.25	Sweden - Montenegro	81:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW
- Greece basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Greece - Montenegro	65:67 ✺
30.11.25	Portugal - Greece	68:76 ✺
27.11.25	Greece - Romania	91:64 ✺
EuroBasket
14.09.25	Greece - Finland	92:89 ✺
12.09.25	Greece - Turkey	68:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Greece - Montenegro	65:67
Friendly International Basketball
14.08.25	Greece - Montenegro	69:61
25.06.24	Greece - Montenegro	86:57
World Championship Basketball
03.09.23	Greece - Montenegro	69:73
01.09.19	Greece - Montenegro	85:60
Friendly International Basketball
08.09.18	Montenegro - Greece	76:87
11.08.17	Montenegro - Greece	81:83

Montenegro - Greece: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide