Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	17:30	DAZN
Finland	18:30	DAZN
Sweden	17:30	DAZN
Ukraine	18:30	Suspilne Sport


	Ukraine		Georgia

	1	2
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	1.96	1.78
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.94	1.76
	2.01	1.75
	2.08	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.59)	1.79 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ukraine
47.6%

Georgia
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ukraine's form might have worsened.

Georgia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Georgia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Ukraine - Georgia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Georgia will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Georgia: 75.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Georgia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bobrov V. Dinamo Bucharest	35. Bitadze G. Orlando Magic
50. Kovliar O. Buducnost	77. Ochkhikidze G. Batumi
10. Mykhailiuk S. Utah Jazz	2. Reed M. Trabzonspor
44. Skapintsev D. Hapoel Jerusalem	10. Sanadze D. Palmer Basket
5. Tkachenko I. Zadar	23. Shengelia T. (C) Barcelona
Substitutes
16. Klitschko M. AS Monaco	4. Andronikashvili R. Alftanes
6. Kobzystyi O.	7. Burjanadze B. Fundacion Granada
35. Kovalov A. Yankey Ark	6. Kakhaber J. Kutaisi
7. Lukashov D. (C) Rigas Zelli	12. Korsantia G. Gipuzkoa Basket
14. Shelist D. Oviedo	0. Merkviladze A. Oostende
34. Tyrtyshnik I.	15. Phevadze A.
17. Voinalovych A. Sabah Baku	11. Turdziladze G. TSU
Coaches
. Bagatskis A.	. Dzikic A.

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 411:387. (average 82.2:77.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ukraine basketball
Friendly International Basketball
28.06.26	Lithuania - Ukraine	92:96 ✺
World Championship Basketball
02.03.26	Spain - Ukraine	78:64 ✺
27.02.26	Ukraine - Spain	66:86 ✺
30.11.25	Ukraine - Denmark	88:71 ✺
27.11.25	Georgia - Ukraine	79:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLLWW
- Georgia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
28.06.26	Latvia - Georgia	77:87 ✺
World Championship Basketball
02.03.26	Georgia - Denmark	89:60 ✺
27.02.26	Denmark - Georgia	71:89 ✺
30.11.25	Spain - Georgia	90:61 ✺
27.11.25	Georgia - Ukraine	79:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.11.25	Georgia - Ukraine	79:92
01.07.22	Ukraine - Georgia	79:66
26.11.21	Georgia - Ukraine	88:83
EuroBasket
03.09.17	Georgia - Ukraine	81:88
Friendly International Basketball
13.08.16	Georgia - Ukraine	73:69

Ukraine - Georgia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide