Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ginásio Poliesportivo Pref. Arno João Frantz (Santa Cruz do Sul)

Referee: Schwartz J. (Bra)


	União Corinthians		São Paulo

	1	2
	1.01	15
	1.21	3.9
	1	10	Watch
	1.18	4.49
	1.03	11.01
	1.03	11
	1.02	9.2
	1	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.39)	9.33 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Corinthians
89.8%

São Paulo
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Corinthians's performance.

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Corinthians than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Corinthians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União Corinthians - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Johnson D.	40. Bresolin A.
2. Castro Anjos	7. Paulo
35. Barber R.	22. Ansaloni R.
8. Machuca J.	3. Bennett C.
16. Lanaras R.	33. Miller M.
Substitutes
50. Andre D.	10. Coelho H.
10. Nunes P.	32. Duarte I.
1. Russo F.	16. Igor Andrade
6. Thaylor	14. Miguel Santos
11. Verissimo F.	2. Oliveira J.
3. Vezaro F.
9. Vithinho
Coaches
. Silva R.	. Guerra J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches União Corinthians won 1.

Recent matches União Corinthians is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match União Corinthians is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches União Corinthians won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 503:578 (average 71.9:82.6).

Including matches at home between the teams União Corinthians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 216:240 (average 72:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Corinthians
Brazilian NBB
03.03.25	União Corinthians - Flamengo	77:82 ✺
14.02.25	Brasília Basquete - União Corinthians	95:71 ✺
08.02.25	União Corinthians - Botafogo	90:77 ✺
06.02.25	União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	84:71 ✺
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.25	Brasília Basquete - União Corinthians	85:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
13.03.25	Caxias do Sul - São Paulo	76:65 ✺
08.03.25	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	88:78 ✺
04.03.25	São Paulo - Basquete Cearense	75:79 ✺
13.02.25	São Paulo - Unifacisa	68:66 ✺
08.02.25	Pinheiros - São Paulo	80:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
12.12.24	São Paulo - União Corinthians	70:80
22.03.24	São Paulo - União Corinthians	71:60
30.11.23	União Corinthians - São Paulo	74:81
07.03.23	São Paulo - União Corinthians	99:76
25.11.22	União Corinthians - São Paulo	71:93
04.03.22	São Paulo - União Corinthians	98:71
02.12.21	União Corinthians - São Paulo	71:66

União Corinthians - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide