Match Info

LFB Women - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pavilhao Sidonio Serpa (Ponta Delgada) 🌤️ ...


	União Sportiva		Sanjoanense

	1	2
	1.21	3.75
	1.16	4.2
	1.19	4.04	Watch
	1.19	4.24
	1.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	4.05 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Sportiva
77.2%

Sanjoanense
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Sportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Sportiva's performance.

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanjoanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Sportiva than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Sportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanjoanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União Sportiva - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Carvalho M.	8. Anacleto C. (C)
28. Goncalves C.	13. Bimpa S.
11. Monique	21. Ju Souza
8. Nascimento I.	22. Miller E.
2. Rivera G.	30. Petrus E.
Substitutes
21. Ferreira S. (C)	6. Arieiro J.
17. Gaislerova M.	15. Cavadas A.
14. Pimentel I.	9. Costa M.
7. Rodrigues R.	10. Leitao M.
27. Serralheiro L.	5. Leite M.
	12. Pinho I.
	11. Ressurreicao B.
Coaches
. Botelho R.	. Peres I.

Preview

União Sportiva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanjoanense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

União Sportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, União Sportiva has had a series of away games.

In this match, União Sportiva is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União Sportiva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 206:191. (average 68.7:63.7).

Including home match between the teams, União Sportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 74:66.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Uniao Sportiva W	4	2	2	297:301	6
8	Sanjoanense W	4	2	2	282:328	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube União Sportiva
Portuguese LFB
28.12.25	Coimbrões - União Sportiva	64:80 ✺
21.12.25	Barcelos - União Sportiva	97:72 ✺
14.12.25	União Sportiva - Galitos	78:70 ✺
08.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	78:77 ✺
06.12.25	Benfica - União Sportiva	75:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- AD Sanjoanense Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
28.12.25	Sanjoanense - Benfica	59:101 ✺
20.12.25	Esgueira - Sanjoanense	91:89 ✺
14.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Sanjoanense	69:67 OT ✺
08.12.25	Sanjoanense - Imortal	80:90 ✺
06.12.25	Madeira - Sanjoanense	83:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
19.10.25	Sanjoanense - União Sportiva	74:68
19.01.25	Sanjoanense - União Sportiva	51:64
27.10.24	União Sportiva - Sanjoanense	74:66

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