Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo


	Unicaja Malaga		AEK Athens

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.89
	1.45	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unicaja Malaga
65.5%

AEK Athens
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Unicaja will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). AEK will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unicaja: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unicaja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audige C.	24. Bartley F.
7. Barreiro J.	33. Charalampopoulos V. (C)
45. Kravish D.	8. Feazell K.
0. Perez T.	7. Flionis D.
55. Perry K.	0. Gray R.
Substitutes
2. Balcerowski A. (C)	11. Arsenopoulos N.
11. Cobbs J.	2. Brown III G.
9. Diaz A.	4. Katsivelis D.
4. Kalinoski T.	19. Kuzminskas M.
19. Sulejmanovic E.	9. Lekavicius L.
33. Tillie K.	21. Nunnally J.
3. Webb J. III	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Navarro I.	. Sakota D.

Preview

Unicaja is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, AEK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Unicaja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 234:196. (average 78:65.3).

Including home match between the teams, Unicaja won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:66.

Outrights of Champions League Basketball for now

Unicaja: 13.86% AEK Athens: 5.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unicaja Málaga
Spanish ACB League
29.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Gran Canaria 2014	100:101 OT ✺
25.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Força Lleida CE	91:72 ✺
19.04.26	Granada - Unicaja Malaga	83:71 ✺
12.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - Valencia	87:93 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.04.26	ALBA Berlin - Unicaja Malaga	85:88 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:94 ✺
19.04.26	Panionios - AEK Athens	57:71 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	72:67 ✺
07.04.26	Joventut Badalona - AEK Athens	88:66 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.04.26	Aris - AEK Athens	82:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
09.05.25	AEK Athens - Unicaja Malaga	65:71
21.03.23	AEK Athens - Unicaja Malaga	65:75
25.01.23	Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens	88:66

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