Match Info

CHILE: LNB

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Palestino (Santiago de Chile)


	Universidad Católica		Deportes Castro

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	1.94	1.81
	1.96	1.75	Watch
	1.88	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.06)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
47.3%

Deportes Castro
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Deportes Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Castro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1.

Universidad Católica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportes Castro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportes Castro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Deportes Castro have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 624-633.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 339-326.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Universidad Católica Basketball
Chilean LNB
03.02.23	Universidad Católica - Leones de Quilpue	65:84 ✺
29.01.23	Puerto Varas - Universidad Católica	99:51 ✺
28.01.23	Puerto Montt - Universidad Católica	70:64 ✺
22.01.23	Universidad Católica - Las Animas	96:94 ✺
21.01.23	Universidad Católica - Espanol Osorno	77:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Deportes Castro
Chilean LNB
17.02.23	Leones de Quilpue - Deportes Castro	92:64 ✺
11.02.23	Deportes Castro - Deportivo Valdivia	79:77 ✺
10.02.23	Deportes Castro - Temuco	85:71 ✺
05.02.23	Deportes Castro - Puerto Montt	79:70 ✺
04.02.23	Deportes Castro - Puerto Varas	62:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
28.04.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	75:82
24.04.22	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	83:52
09.02.20	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	81:71
21.12.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	61:59
13.01.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	87:93
18.11.18	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	82:92
16.12.17	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	116:92

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