The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 54.2%
Peñarol de Mar del Plata 45.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Mar del Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Santa Fe - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Basabe E.
3. Basualdo I.
5. Cabrera M.
73. Carreras X.
3. Guerra Y.
13. Cordoba G.
18. Queiros F.
18. Perez A.
33. Vogt C.
9. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
10. Alessio I.
35. Acuna R.
34. Astulfi S.
15. Chiaraviglio N.
6. Balbi F.
4. Guerra L.
8. Chamorro F.
10. Hoover N.
7. Elias G.
33. Rossi G.
14. Ferrari A.
1. Thornton A.
13. Hure D.
2. Tolosa F.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe won 2.
Recent performances by Unión Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Peñarol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 696:777. (average 77.3:86.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Santa Fe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 311:339. (average 77.8:84.8).
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Basabe E. 
Basualdo I. 
Carreras X. 
Guerra Y. 
Queiros F. 
Vogt C. 
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