Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 30

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Allianz Cloud (Milan)


	Urania Milano		Avellino Basket

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.53	2.25
	1.63	2.29
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.85)	2.28 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urania Milano
59.2%

Avellino Basket
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urania Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urania Milano's performance.

Avellino Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urania Milano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urania Milano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino Basket than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Urania Milano - Avellino Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Urania Milano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bracale S.	3. Chandler III J.
34. Cavallero M.	77. Dell'agnello G.
13. D’Almeida U.	1. Lewis J.
22. Morse A.	4. Mussini F.
1. Taylor K.	0. Zerini A.
Substitutes
6. Amato A.	19. Donati G.
3. Calvio G.	10. Fianco M.
5. Gentile A.	95. Fresno L.
7. Lupusor I.	5. Grande A.
36. Morgillo A.	2. Jurkatamm M.
11. Rashed M.	22. Pini G.
43. Sabatini G.	55. Pullazi R.
Coaches
. Cardani M.	. Di Carlo G.

Preview

Urania Milano is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Avellino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Urania Milano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 232:242. (average 77.3:80.7).

Including home match between the teams, Urania Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:85.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Avellino Basket	2	2	0	160:141	4
13	Urania Milano	2	0	2	149:154	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urania Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
27.02.26	Mestre - Urania Milano	84:93 ✺
22.02.26	Urania Milano - Libertas Livorno	73:66 ✺
15.02.26	Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano	72:80 ✺
07.02.26	Urania Milano - Cividale	90:80 ✺
01.02.26	Roseto Sharks - Urania Milano	62:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- Avellino Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.02.26	Avellino Basket - Cividale	87:74 ✺
08.02.26	Rimini - Avellino Basket	96:101 ✺
01.02.26	Avellino Basket - Verona	72:71 ✺
25.01.26	Brindisi - Avellino Basket	83:67 ✺
21.01.26	Avellino Basket - Basket Pesaro	93:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
28.09.25	Avellino Basket - Urania Milano	74:75
15.02.25	Urania Milano - Avellino Basket	76:85
01.12.24	Avellino Basket - Urania Milano	83:81 OT

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