Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 29

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Cloud (Milan)


	Urania Milano		Libertas Livorno

	1	2
	2.12	1.65
	2.05	1.63
	2.11	1.74
	2.07	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urania Milano
44.5%

Libertas Livorno
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urania Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urania Milano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Urania Milano - Libertas Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bracale S.	12. Filloy A.
34. Cavallero M.	24. Penna L.
36. Morgillo A.	33. Possamai L.
22. Morse A.	11. Tozzi L.
1. Taylor K.	1. Woodson A.
Substitutes
6. Amato A.	8. Fantoni T.
13. D’Almeida U.	75. Filoni N.
5. Gentile A.	3. Genti N.
7. Lupusor I.	9. Gubinelli N.
3. Malattia C.	5. Tiby M.
11. Rashed M.	7. Valentini F.
43. Sabatini G.

Preview

Urania Milano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Libertas Livorno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Libertas Livorno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Urania Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 212:278. (average 70.7:92.7).

Including home match between the teams, Urania Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 84:94.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	2	2	0	151:111	4
13	Urania Milano	2	0	2	149:154	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urania Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.02.26	Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano	72:80 ✺
07.02.26	Urania Milano - Cividale	90:80 ✺
01.02.26	Roseto Sharks - Urania Milano	62:76 ✺
24.01.26	Urania Milano - Forlì	99:81 ✺
21.01.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Urania Milano	83:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
16.02.26	Baltur Cento - Libertas Livorno	81:74 ✺
11.02.26	Libertas Livorno - Basket Torino	87:62 ✺
08.02.26	Libertas Livorno - Ruvo di Puglia	87:65 ✺
31.01.26	Juvi Cremona - Libertas Livorno	79:76 ✺
25.01.26	Rimini - Libertas Livorno	77:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
29.10.25	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	98:60
19.04.25	Urania Milano - Libertas Livorno	84:94
29.12.24	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	86:68

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