Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Cloud (Milan)


	Urania Milano		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.49	1.54
	2.29	1.51	Watch
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.39)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urania Milano
38.1%

Basket Pesaro
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urania Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urania Milano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Urania Milano - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cavallero M.	21. Bucarelli L.
5. Gentile A.	7. Maretto O.
36. Morgillo A.	22. Miniotas R.
32. Rogic R.	15. Tambone M.
1. Taylor K.	18. Virginio N.
Substitutes
6. Amato A.	5. Bertini A.
14. Bracale S.	13. De Laurentiis Q.
13. D’Almeida U.	25. Fainke E.
7. Lupusor I.	20. Felder K.
11. Rashed M.	8. Sakine E. Y.
25. Rossi L.	1. Trucchetti S.
43. Sabatini G.
Coaches
. Cardani M.	. Leka S.

Preview

In recent matches, Urania Milano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pesaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pesaro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Urania Milano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 147:157. (average 73.5:78.5).

Including home match between the teams, Urania Milano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 77:60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urania Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.11.25	Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket	92:77 ✺
09.11.25	Forlì - Urania Milano	80:70 ✺
01.11.25	Urania Milano - Verona	79:73 ✺
29.10.25	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	98:60 ✺
24.10.25	Basket Torino - Urania Milano	70:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.11.25	Basket Pesaro - Avellino Basket	93:72 ✺
09.11.25	Basket Pesaro - Scafati	71:69 ✺
02.11.25	Juvi Cremona - Basket Pesaro	75:95 ✺
29.10.25	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	82:73 ✺
26.10.25	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	86:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
19.01.25	Basket Pesaro - Urania Milano	97:70
26.10.24	Urania Milano - Basket Pesaro	77:60

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