Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Urunday Universitario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...


	Urunday Universitario		Defensor Sporting

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urunday Universitario
55.5%

Defensor Sporting
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urunday Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urunday Universitario's performance.

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensor Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urunday Universitario than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urunday Universitario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Urunday Universitario - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Defensor (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Benitez M.	45. Bianchi M.
24. Buckner E.	21. Ewing E.
21. Demers E.	77. Soto F. (C)
1. Holt E.	15. Terra F.
6. Sarni M. (C)	3. Weaver E.
Substitutes
2. Bessio N.	9. Antunes M.
8. Curadossi B.	43. Colmenares N.
92. Jounes M.	11. Gomez B.
7. Massa S.	23. MacMullen M.
20. Moller A.	0. Metzger T.
11. Rodriguez M.	7. Soto M.
14. Sacco J.	13. Zubiaurre M.
Coaches
. Gonzalez M.	. Brea G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urunday won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urunday won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1567:1687. (average 78.4:84.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Urunday won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 683:736. (average 75.9:81.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Urunday	3	0	3	247:270	3
9	Defensor	1	1	0	83:64	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urunday Universitario
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
19.12.25	Goes - Urunday Universitario	86:100 ✺
16.12.25	Urunday Universitario - Aguada	99:104 ✺
09.12.25	Welcome - Urunday Universitario	63:102 ✺
04.12.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	85:58 ✺
20.11.25	Urunday Universitario - Cordón	123:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- BC Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
18.12.25	Defensor Sporting - Biguá	98:76 ✺
15.12.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Defensor Sporting	91:90 ✺
11.12.25	Defensor Sporting - Welcome	103:82 ✺
Basketball South American League
07.12.25	Defensor Sporting - Olimpia Kings	98:63 ✺
06.12.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensor Sporting	80:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
20.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Urunday Universitario	97:92
13.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Urunday Universitario	98:90
10.12.24	Urunday Universitario - Defensor Sporting	81:78
31.01.23	Urunday Universitario - Defensor Sporting	73:75 OT
28.11.22	Defensor Sporting - Urunday Universitario	59:58
22.03.22	Defensor Sporting - Urunday Universitario	76:68
07.01.22	Urunday Universitario - Defensor Sporting	84:90

Urunday Universitario - Defensor Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide