Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Origo-hollin Hlidarenda (Reykjavík)


	Valur		Grindavík

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.08
	1.64	2.02
	1.7	2.15
	1.63	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
55.7%

Grindavík
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Grindavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grindavík than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grindavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valur - Grindavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Acox K. (C)	7. Kane D.
10. Jonsson K.	22. Mortensen D.
21. Lawson C.	14. Olafsson O. (C)
3. Stefansson H.	2. Pargo J.
24. Woods K.	45. Semple J.
Substitutes
20. Agustsson G.	77. Atlason P.
77. Maric I.	12. Bragason R.
5. Nikolic L.	8. Gylfason K.
18. Sigurdarson K.	24. Helgason A.
4. Svalason A.	10. Karason U.
9. Svavarsson O.	15. Nokkvason N.
11. Svavarsson V.	21. Valsson V.
Coaches
. Stefansson F.	. Olafsson J.

Preview

Grindavik leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 1.

Recent performances by Valur have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grindavík is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1616:1641. (average 80.8:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 927:858. (average 84.3:78).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2
9	Grindavik	1	0	1	80:91	0

Last Results with these Odds

Valur - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	93:67 ✺
26.04.26	Valur - Grindavík	79:72 ✺
22.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	82:81 ✺
19.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	90:76 ✺
15.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	88:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Grindavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	93:67 ✺
26.04.26	Valur - Grindavík	79:72 ✺
22.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	82:81 ✺
14.04.26	Njarðvík - Grindavík	84:91 ✺
10.04.26	Grindavík - Njarðvík	97:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
30.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	93:67
26.04.26	Valur - Grindavík	79:72
22.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	82:81
29.01.26	Grindavík - Valur	78:67
30.10.25	Valur - Grindavík	55:90
14.04.25	Grindavík - Valur	82:74
10.04.25	Valur - Grindavík	75:86

Valur - Grindavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide