Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Origo-hollin Hlidarenda (Reykjavík)


	Valur		Keflavík

	1	2
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.88	1.86
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
50.7%

Keflavík
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Valur - Keflavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Acox K. (C)	77. Bulic M.
7. Booker F.	12. Koulechov E.
10. Jonsson K.	13. Moller C.
21. Lawson C.	14. Petursson H.
24. Woods K.	1. Remy M.
Substitutes
77. Maric I.	8. Bardarson E.
5. Nikolic L.	5. Brodnik J.
18. Sigurdarson K.	23. Gunnlaugsson O.
3. Stefansson H.	9. Hermannsson H. (C)
4. Svalason A.	10. Magnusson J.
9. Svavarsson O.	11. Orelj N.
11. Svavarsson V.	7. Sigurdarson F.
Coaches
. Stefansson F.	. Gudmundsson D.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1751:1676. (average 87.6:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 884:845. (average 88.4:84.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Keflavik	1	1	0	108:90	2
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	88:81 ✺
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78 ✺
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87 ✺
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78 ✺
26.03.26	Valur - IR Reykjavík	82:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL
- Keflavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	88:81 ✺
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78 ✺
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87 ✺
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78 ✺
26.03.26	Njarðvík - Keflavík	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
15.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	88:81
11.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	79:78
07.04.26	Keflavík - Valur	82:87
02.04.26	Valur - Keflavík	75:78
19.03.26	Keflavík - Valur	85:88
Icelandic Cup Basketball
12.01.26	Valur - Keflavík	93:94
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.12.25	Valur - Keflavík	112:91

Valur - Keflavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide