Match Info

Taca da Liga

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque das Camélias (Porto)


	Vasco Da Gama Porto		Galitos Barreiro

	1	2
	3.15	1.26	Watch
	3.37	1.22
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.51	1.21
	2.08	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.08)	1.32 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco Da Gama Porto
30.2%

Galitos Barreiro
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco Da Gama Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco Da Gama Porto's form might have worsened.

Galitos Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galitos Barreiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco Da Gama Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galitos Barreiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Vasco Da Gama Porto - Galitos Barreiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vasco Da Gama will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Galitos will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galitos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Akoi Y.	8. Carter B.
24. Clancey S.	7. Eyobo Q.
2. Lindsey L.	1. Naper W.
3. McLean Z.	2. Roddree S.
45. Santos D.	20. Runge D.
Substitutes
9. Ambrosio F.	9. Almeida J.
8. Coutinho I. (C)	14. Carvalho G.
34. Domingues K.	10. Guerreiro R. (C)
10. Ferreira F.	32. Lisboa B.
46. Gomes A.	86. Machado D.
21. Lopes P.
44. Martins D.
Coaches
. Freitas N.	. Henrique P.

Preview

Vasco Da Gama is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Galitos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Galitos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Galitos has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vasco Da Gama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 344:334. (average 86:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco Da Gama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 149:168. (average 74.5:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.26	Imortal - Vasco Da Gama Porto	91:87 ✺
Portuguese LPB
14.02.26	Braga - Vasco Da Gama Porto	107:66 ✺
07.02.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Galitos Barreiro	80:88 ✺
31.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Ovarense	66:110 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Porto	63:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Galitos Barreiro
Taca de Portugal Basketball
21.02.26	Galitos Barreiro - Porto	81:97 ✺
Portuguese LPB
14.02.26	Galitos Barreiro - Oliveirense	76:90 ✺
07.02.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Galitos Barreiro	80:88 ✺
31.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - Esgueira	88:75 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - CAQ Queluz	98:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
07.02.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Galitos Barreiro	80:88
18.10.25	Galitos Barreiro - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:111
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
26.03.23	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Galitos Barreiro	69:80
25.02.23	Galitos Barreiro - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:84

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