Match Info

LPB - Round 13

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque das Camélias (Porto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	DAZN 4


	Vasco Da Gama Porto		Ovarense

	1	2
	2.68	1.38	Watch
	3.62	1.18
	3.51	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.22
	4.1	1.2
	4.5	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.97)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco Da Gama Porto
25%

Ovarense
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco Da Gama Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco Da Gama Porto's form might have worsened.

Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ovarense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco Da Gama Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vasco Da Gama Porto - Ovarense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco Da Gama (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:89

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ovarense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vasco Da Gama has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ovarense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco Da Gama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 75:83.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96:83	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
28.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Porto	63:122 ✺
Portuguese LPB
24.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Porto	103:101 ✺
10.01.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Benfica	70:118 ✺
04.01.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Vasco Da Gama Porto	84:88 ✺
28.12.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Imortal	66:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.4 LWLWL
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Portuguese LPB
24.01.26	Esgueira - Ovarense	76:79 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.01.26	Braga - Ovarense	74:86 ✺
06.01.26	Porto - Ovarense	74:62 ✺
03.01.26	Ovarense - Galitos Barreiro	88:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
11.10.25	Ovarense - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:75

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