The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 43.8%
Botafogo 56.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.7%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
Botafogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Vasco da Gama - Botafogo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:80
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.
24. Derick Machado
24. Conceicao S.
55. Machado L.
19. Magna G.
7. Matheusinho B.
2. Morgan L.
22. Matias E.
4. Vernizz A.
41. Scheuer P.
Substitutes
27. Elias Oliveira
6. Fellipe Paulino
7. Fortunato J.
4. Joao Davi
23. Honorato I.
2. Klebinho
30. Martins I.
8. Lele
12. Mathias T.
33. Moreira A.
11. Nunes P.
0. Nascimento N.
17. Rodrigues L.
Coaches
. dos Santos C.
. Balbis J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
Vasco has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 718:698. (average 79.8:77.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 329:317. (average 82.3:79.3).
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Basilio G. 
Machado L. 
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