Match Info

NBB

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lelis G. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Cruzeiro

	1	2
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.39	1.58
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
41.7%

Cruzeiro
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.	22. Ansaloni R.
24. Conceicao S.	10. Bueno C.
19. Magna G.	30. Da Silva M.
2. Morgan L.	2. Nique
4. Vernizz A.	0. Thornton I.
Substitutes
27. Elias Oliveira	3. Abreu L.
7. Fortunato J.	7. Clay Y.
23. Honorato I.	5. Gittens G.
30. Martins I.	12. JJ
12. Mathias T.	21. Sena W.
11. Nunes P.	17. Sommer E.
Coaches
. dos Santos C.	. Perez T.

Preview

Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cruzeiro has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vasco has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 75:79.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
9	Cruzeiro	2	1	1	146:144	0.500

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Cruzeiro: 0.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
04.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Minas	88:109 ✺
01.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Paulistano	69:96 ✺
21.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Pinheiros	63:81 ✺
14.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Osasco	88:86 ✺
11.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	71:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Cruzeiro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
08.04.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	90:84 ✺
06.04.26	Botafogo - Cruzeiro	80:70 ✺
01.04.26	Minas - Cruzeiro	101:88 ✺
19.03.26	Cruzeiro - União Corinthians	66:67 ✺
17.03.26	Cruzeiro - Caxias do Sul	76:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
23.12.25	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	79:75

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