Match Info

Eurocup - Round 3

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio (Venice)

Referee: Tiganis I. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Venezia		Neptūnas

	1	2
	1.26	4	Watch
	1.25	3.95	Watch
	1.25	4.09
	1.02	11.04	Watch
	1.25	3.64	Watch
	1.4	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	4.91 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
79.8%

Neptūnas
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Venezia - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bowman K.	21. Berucka A.
1. Cole R.J.	6. Lomazs R.
2. Horton C.	9. Pacevicius M.
22. Parks J.	1. Tarolis D.
33. Wiltjer K.	11. Velicka A.
Substitutes
7. Candi L.	0. Cleary H.
5. De Nicolao G.	8. Girdziunas M.
14. Janelidze G.	33. Karnik J.
4. Lever A.	2. Kneizys R.
11. Nikolic S.	16. Macijauskas M.
00. Tessitori A.	3. Tucker J.
10. Wheatle C.	24. Waterman Z.
Coaches
. Spahija N.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

Venezia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neptūnas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neptūnas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umana Venezia
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.25	Trapani - Venezia	109:102 OT ✺
Eurocup
08.10.25	Bahcesehir Koleji - Venezia	93:74 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.10.25	Venezia - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	82:75 ✺
Eurocup
30.09.25	Venezia - Aris	81:85 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	Venezia - Rytas	87:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.10.25	Neptūnas - Gargždai	102:74 ✺
Eurocup
07.10.25	Neptūnas - U BT Cluj-Napoca	102:107 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.10.25	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Neptūnas	85:92 ✺
Eurocup
30.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Neptūnas	95:85 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.09.25	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Kaunas	71:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

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