Match Info

Serie A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona)


	Verona		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.55
	1.41	2.88
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.38	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
65.1%

Fortitudo Bologna
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortitudo Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Verona - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortitudo Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Johnson J.	26. De Vico N.
25. McGee T.	14. Guaiana V.
32. Monaldi D.	10. Imbro M.
4. Rossi F.	2. Moore L.
18. Zampini F.	33. Moretti S.
Substitutes
14. Ambrosin L.	6. Anumba S.
13. Bolpin R.	77. Gamberini F.
11. Loro A.	8. Mastellari M.
10. Mecenero M.	3. Sarto A.
7. Pittana D.	9. Sorokas P.
12. Poser F.
33. Serpilli M.
Coaches
. Ramagli A.	. Caja A.

Preview

Verona leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 3.

Verona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortitudo Bologna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fortitudo Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Verona has had a series of away games.

Verona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Verona will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Verona won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1246:1302. (average 69.2:72.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 575:589. (average 71.9:73.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Fortitudo Bologna	2	2	0	175:151	4

Last Results with these Odds

Verona - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	74:75 OT ✺
20.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	59:60 ✺
14.05.26	Brindisi - Verona	69:77 ✺
12.05.26	Brindisi - Verona	77:70 ✺
09.05.26	Verona - Brindisi	86:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	74:75 OT ✺
20.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	59:60 ✺
17.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Avellino Basket	93:61 ✺
14.05.26	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	76:67 ✺
12.05.26	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	75:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	74:75 OT
20.05.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	59:60
10.01.26	Verona - Fortitudo Bologna	78:60
25.10.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	55:47
26.01.25	Verona - Fortitudo Bologna	67:77
03.11.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Verona	70:67
04.02.24	Verona - Fortitudo Bologna	73:70 OT

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