Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 15

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Hallmann Dome (Vienna)

Referee: Javor E. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Vienna Basket		Spartak Subotica

	1	2
	2.9	1.37
	2.68	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.88	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Basket
33.1%

Spartak Subotica
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Basket than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vienna Basket - Spartak Subotica Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vienna Basket will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vienna Basket: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vienna Basket will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bajo D.	3. Cerovina L.
0. Boum S.	4. Drobnjak I.
3. Glas G.	7. Hanlan O.
2. Hunter S.	13. Medarevic V.
8. Runjic L.	21. Thompson S.
Substitutes
5. Asceric L.	33. Bodrozic B.
9. Bulic L.	23. Hawkins J.
15. Goranovic M.	22. Ilic D.
13. Jarumbauskas S.	11. Kennedy K.
24. Mahalbasic R.	8. Momirov S.
11. Pavicevic M.	34. Nikolic D.
21. Stazic A.	44. Rebic N.
Coaches
. Coffin M.	. Jovanovic V.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Winners stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Spartak Subotica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spartak Subotica is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vienna Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 66:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Basket
Adriatic League
10.01.26	Vienna Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	93:89 ✺
Austrian Superliga Basketball
10.01.26	Traiskirchen Lions - Vienna Basket	107:62 ✺
Adriatic League
05.01.26	Mega Basket - Vienna Basket	100:98 ✺
Austrian Cup Basketball
03.01.26	WBC Raiffeisen Wels - Vienna Basket	95:89 ✺
Austrian Superliga Basketball
29.12.25	Vienna Basket - Kapfenberg Bulls	104:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLLLW
- KK Spartak Subotica
Adriatic League
11.01.26	Spartak Subotica - Ilirija	104:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.01.26	Karditsas - Spartak Subotica	84:75 ✺
06.01.26	Spartak Subotica - Karditsas	82:89 ✺
Adriatic League
03.01.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Spartak Subotica	86:65 ✺
29.12.25	Spartak Subotica - KK Zadar	76:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
11.10.25	Spartak Subotica - Vienna Basket	79:66

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