Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla (Ukmerge)


	Vilniaus Stekas		Kretinga

	1	2
	2.2	1.55
	2.26	1.59
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.39)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilniaus Stekas
40.4%

Kretinga
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilniaus Stekas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilniaus Stekas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vilniaus Stekas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Brusokas K.	6. Danys E.
33. Bucas D.	22. Kazakauskas J.
26. Morkunas D.	5. Staniulis M.
23. Subotkevic R.	55. Warren J.
22. Urbanavicius K.	23. Young J.
Substitutes
13. Buskevicius A.	9. Kazlauskas D.
2. Egbuta J.	3. Kontrimas G.
12. Jonuska K. (C)	8. Rudys T.
0. Rotardier K.	33. Saulis V.
5. Simeus W.	13. Zabita R. (C)
	7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Stankevicius T.	. Mikalocius A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 3.

Recent form of Vilniaus Stekas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kretinga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vilniaus Stekas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kretinga has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vilniaus Stekas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1085:1028. (average 83.5:79.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilniaus Stekas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 517:454. (average 86.2:75.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1
17	Kretinga	3	0	3	226:273	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	101:92 ✺
07.03.26	Olimpas Palanga - Vilniaus Stekas	94:97 OT ✺
05.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Omega Tauras	83:87 ✺
03.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:87 ✺
26.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	98:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
12.03.26	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	77:88 ✺
07.03.26	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	101:97 ✺
28.02.26	Kretinga - Šilutė	93:76 ✺
26.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	86:58 ✺
22.02.26	Kretinga - Omega Tauras	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
15.01.26	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	113:79
20.11.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	98:88
06.02.25	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	75:77
21.12.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	76:58
26.10.24	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	69:64
22.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Kretinga	93:79
03.02.24	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	107:92

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