The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Roma 24.8%
Basket Pesaro 75.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Roma's form might have worsened.
Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Pesaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Roma than the current prediction. (+24%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-24%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Pesaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.6%
0%
92.4%
Virtus Roma - Basket Pesaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Basket Pesaro will win
(109 of 118 users predict this - 92.37%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.58% โ 97.16%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:83
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Virtus Roma is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Basket Pesaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Basket Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Virtus Roma won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 689-742.
Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Roma won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 385-401.