Match Info

NKL

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Sakiu sporto centras (Sakiai)


	Vytis Šakiai		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1.34	2.85
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.37	2.85
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	2.77 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vytis Šakiai
66.7%

Mažeikiai
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vytis Šakiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vytis Šakiai than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Celka G. (C)	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
22. Janusevicius T.	12. Motuzas M.
11. Jocys R.	14. Narusevicius E.
13. Leliukas K.	3. Neal N.
2. Vaivada N.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
0. Kupstas D.	17. Bartasius Z.
18. Lebskas N.	13. Karasov P.
6. Mazeika G.	5. Marquett Epps D.
12. Mikstas A.	8. Rubinas D.
1. Norutis R.	7. Stropus J.
23. Rubinas J.
3. Velutis P.
Coaches
. Kuciauskas E.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 2.

In recent matches, Vytis Šakiai has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mažeikiai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vytis Šakiai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mažeikiai has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vytis Šakiai is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Vytis Šakiai won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1655:1508. (average 87.1:79.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vytis Šakiai won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 742:675. (average 92.8:84.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Vytis VDU	2	2	0	178:173	2
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Vytis Šakiai
Lietuvos NKL
17.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vytis Šakiai	70:88 ✺
15.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Plunges Olimpas	90:92 ✺
10.01.26	Omega Tauras - Vytis Šakiai	104:81 ✺
08.01.26	Vytis Šakiai - Telšiai	107:89 ✺
03.01.26	Alytaus Alytus - Vytis Šakiai	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
15.01.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	83:84 ✺
10.01.26	Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	78:91 ✺
08.01.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	73:66 ✺
03.01.26	Mažeikiai - Kretinga	94:95 ✺
20.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vilniaus Stekas	79:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
04.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	89:103
04.04.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	87:73
01.04.23	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	73:79
29.03.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	72:70
23.02.23	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	99:95
26.01.23	Mažeikiai - Vytis Šakiai	74:69
17.12.22	Vytis Šakiai - Mažeikiai	84:89

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