Match Info

NKL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Mažeikiai

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.5	Watch
	2.22	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.32	1.54
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.39)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
39.6%

Mažeikiai
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Mažeikiai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas-Akvaservis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
77. Lesciauskas K.	12. Motuzas M.
13. Maciulis R.	14. Narusevicius E.
31. Zilius E.	3. Neal N.
10. Zymantas A.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
1. Erlickis A.	17. Bartasius Z.
16. Macijauskas M.	2. Juodis G.
28. Remeikis D.	13. Karasov P.
11. Rinkevicius T.	5. Marquett Epps D.
12. Sakaitis R.	15. Mickus A.
7. Sarakauskas S.	8. Rubinas D.
39. Virkutis J.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 3.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mažeikiai is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mažeikiai might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 574:542. (average 82:77.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 280:236. (average 93.3:78.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Last Results with these Odds

Neptūnas-Akvaservis - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
03.01.26	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	71:74 ✺
13.12.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	92:93 OT ✺
11.12.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	72:62 ✺
06.12.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Alytaus Alytus	75:81 ✺
04.12.25	Kėdainiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	72:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
03.01.26	Mažeikiai - Kretinga	94:95 ✺
20.12.25	Mažeikiai - Vilniaus Stekas	79:74 ✺
18.12.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	59:79 ✺
13.12.25	Omega Tauras - Mažeikiai	88:104 ✺
11.12.25	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	75:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
23.10.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:61
31.03.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	59:75
29.03.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	113:82
27.03.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	86:79
24.03.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	86:84
19.01.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	81:70
04.01.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	69:79

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