Match Info

NBL1 West Women

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Warwick Senators		Rockingham Flames

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.35
	1.44	2.61
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.91)	2.47 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warwick Senators
62.7%

Rockingham Flames
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warwick Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warwick Senators's performance.

Rockingham Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rockingham Flames might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warwick Senators than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warwick Senators that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockingham Flames than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rockingham Flames could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warwick Senators - Rockingham Flames Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warwick won 2.

Recent performances by Warwick have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rockingham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rockingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Warwick might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Warwick won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 645:686. (average 80.6:85.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warwick won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 252:274. (average 84:91.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warwick Senators Women
Australian NBL1 West Women
01.05.26	East Perth Eagles - Warwick Senators	100:94 OT ✺
25.04.26	Warwick Senators - Joondalup Wolves	94:79 ✺
17.04.26	Perth Redbacks - Warwick Senators	62:80 ✺
10.04.26	Warwick Senators - East Perth Eagles	80:85 ✺
02.04.26	Kalamunda Eastern Suns - Warwick Senators	68:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLW
- Rockingham Flames Women
Australian NBL1 West Women
01.05.26	Rockingham Flames - Kalamunda Eastern Suns	112:81 ✺
24.04.26	Rockingham Flames - Mandurah Magic	84:86 ✺
18.04.26	Goldfields Giants - Rockingham Flames	84:104 ✺
10.04.26	South West Slammers - Rockingham Flames	64:90 ✺
04.04.26	Rockingham Flames - Lakeside Lightning	107:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 West Women
28.06.25	Rockingham Flames - Warwick Senators	68:104
12.04.25	Warwick Senators - Rockingham Flames	74:82
13.04.24	Rockingham Flames - Warwick Senators	86:57
03.08.23	Rockingham Flames - Warwick Senators	95:70
21.07.23	Warwick Senators - Rockingham Flames	92:89
24.06.23	Rockingham Flames - Warwick Senators	84:68
09.07.22	Rockingham Flames - Warwick Senators	79:94

Warwick Senators - Rockingham Flames: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide