Match Info

WNBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: CareFirst Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN USA


	Washington Mystics		Atlanta Dream

	1	2
	2.25	1.60	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.25	1.65
	2.33	1.68
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.35	1.59
	2.36	1.62
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Washington Mystics
41.8%

Atlanta Dream
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Mystics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Mystics than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Washington (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 174.5, OT - over (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 167.5 - over (1.86) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Amoore G.	3. Canada J.
0. Austin S.	15. Gray A.
22. Citron S.	00. Hillmon-Baker N.
44. Iriafen K.	10. Howard R.
12. Onyenwere M.	5. Reese A.
Coaches
. Johnson S.	. Smesko K.

Preview

Atlanta Dream leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Washington has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Atlanta is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Atlanta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Washington has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1609:1641 (averaging 80.5:82.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Washington against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 792:800 goals (averaging 79.2:80 per game).

Outrights of WNBA for now

Atlanta Dream W: 43.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Mystics
WNBA
27.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:77 ✺
24.09.26	Washington Mystics - Chicago Sky	101:93 ✺
22.09.26	Washington Mystics - Connecticut Sun	79:69 ✺
20.09.26	Indiana Fever - Washington Mystics	77:93 ✺
17.09.26	Chicago Sky - Washington Mystics	80:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- Atlanta Dream
WNBA
27.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:77 ✺
23.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	65:83 ✺
21.09.26	New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream	84:95 ✺
19.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Chicago Sky	106:81 ✺
17.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Connecticut Sun	103:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
27.09.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:77
07.08.26	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	79:74
02.07.26	Washington Mystics - Atlanta Dream	81:76
06.06.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	109:77
03.05.26	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	72:83
03.08.25	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	99:83
20.06.25	Atlanta Dream - Washington Mystics	92:91

Upcoming Matches