Match Info
NBLDate: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: TSB Bank Arena (Wellington)
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Wellington Saints |
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Canterbury Rams |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.35 |
Watch |
 |
1.47 |
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2.53 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.09 |
Watch |
 |
1.45 |
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2.50 |
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 |
1.54 |
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2.32 |
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 |
1.53 |
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2.34 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.78) |
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2.32 ↑
(1.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 191.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wellington Saints
60.1% | Canterbury Rams
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Saints's performance.Canterbury Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canterbury Rams might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Saints than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Saints that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury Rams than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canterbury Rams could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:94 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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7.  Aliir A.
| 21.  Andrew J.
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0. Davison C.
| 7. Brown W.
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13. Harris H. (C)
| 25.  Choh T.
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1.  Ingram D.
| 16. Holmes J.
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40. Pepper E.
| 33. Withers T. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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3. Gold S.
| 10. Cate I.
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15. Hunt J.
| 8. Dallow G.
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8. Iuli B.
| 30. Newton M.
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9. Magalogo K.
| 32. Read T.
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6.  Munir H.
| 24. Rougeau R.
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10. Nonu M.
| 3. Sula M.
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17. Robertson A.
| 13. Worthington T.
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| Coaches |
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. Young A.
| . Clinton Q.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 1.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Canterbury Rams may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Wellington Saints has had a series of away games.Recently, Canterbury Rams has had a series of home games. Wellington Saints could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1786:1747. (average 89.3:87.4).Including home matches between the teams, Wellington Saints won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 843:780. (average 93.7:86.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 18.04.26 | Canterbury Rams - Wellington Saints | 111:89 | | 01.07.25 | Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams | 90:84 | | 29.03.25 | Canterbury Rams - Wellington Saints | 99:81 | | 22.06.24 | Canterbury Rams - Wellington Saints | 110:85 | | 25.05.24 | Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams | 84:107 | | 27.05.23 | Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams | 91:84 | | 05.05.23 | Canterbury Rams - Wellington Saints | 102:88 |
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