Match Info

NBL

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Cowles Stadium (Christchurch)


	Canterbury Rams		Manawatu Jets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.36	2.90
	1.35	2.94
	1.32	3.11	Watch
	1.33	2.90
	1.40	2.73
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.3)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury Rams
67.6%

Manawatu Jets
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury Rams than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:95

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Andrew J.	25. Evans K.
7. Brown W.	24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
10. Cate I.	10. Sand K.
16. Holmes J.	4. Small I.
33. Withers T. (C)	9. Webster C. (C)
Substitutes
4. Christof C.	3. Caldwell B.
2. Cooper B.	5. Collins D.
8. Dallow G.	21. Essahaty A.
32. Marsh B.	8. Makoii I.
30. Newton M.	22. Reed J.
13. Read T.	2. Richards L.
24. Rougeau R.	13. Zahran H.
Coaches
. Clinton Q.	. Webster T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury Rams won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Manawatu Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Canterbury Rams is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canterbury Rams won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1833:1691. (average 91.7:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury Rams won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 968:846. (average 96.8:84.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury Rams
New Zealand NBL
01.07.26	Southland Sharks - Canterbury Rams	103:98 ✺
27.06.26	Canterbury Rams - Hawkes Bay Hawks	93:77 ✺
19.06.26	Canterbury Rams - Tauranga Whai	101:69 ✺
13.06.26	Otago Nuggets - Canterbury Rams	58:93 ✺
03.06.26	Auckland Tuatara - Canterbury Rams	100:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
25.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets	104:97 ✺
17.06.26	Nelson Giants - Manawatu Jets	92:79 ✺
14.06.26	Manawatu Jets - Tauranga Whai	92:96 ✺
31.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Wellington Saints	84:105 ✺
29.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets	77:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
22.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Canterbury Rams	93:100
22.06.25	Manawatu Jets - Canterbury Rams	92:86
11.04.25	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	92:81
29.06.24	Manawatu Jets - Canterbury Rams	45:48
15.06.24	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	107:66
09.07.23	Manawatu Jets - Canterbury Rams	83:99
16.04.23	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	86:90

Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide