Match Info
NBLDate: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Edgar Centre (Dunedin)
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Otago Nuggets |
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Wellington Saints |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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2.60 |
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1.44 |
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3.15 |
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1.28 |
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3.82 |
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1.17 |
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3.2 |
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1.3 |
Watch |
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3.75 |
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1.15 |
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3.84 |
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1.22 |
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3.8 |
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1.23 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.45 ↓ (4.7) |
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1.26 ↑ (1.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 187.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Otago Nuggets 26.7% | Wellington Saints 73.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Otago Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otago Nuggets's performance.Wellington Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 - Otago Nuggets (4.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +6, OT - Otago Nuggets (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Otago Nuggets (2.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH +8 - Otago Nuggets (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Otago Nuggets (2.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Otago Nuggets (votes: 14 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:98 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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13. Louis A.
| 7. Aliir A.
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6. Moller C.
| 13. Harris H.
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12. Rusbatch E. (C)
| 1. Ingram D.
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1. Thata-Paese T.
| 8. Iuli B.
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5. Tuach B.
| 40. Pepper E.
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| Substitutes |
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7. Bardsley M.
| 12. Chunga A.
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43. Hunt T.
| 3. Gold S.
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21. Martin C.
| 15. Hunt J. (C)
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18. McKenzie Z.
| 44. Latu D.
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8. Miller-Jose I.
| 6. Munir H.
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10. Smiler C.
| 10. Nonu M.
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42. Tipene P.
| 27. Pilcher A.
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| Coaches |
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. Sparrow J.
| . Young A.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 1.Otago Nuggets has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Wellington Saints is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Otago Nuggets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Wellington Saints is a strong favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Otago Nuggets won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 986:1036. (average 89.6:94.2).Including home matches between the teams, Otago Nuggets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 463:456. (average 92.6:91.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 06.06.26 | Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets | 96:90 | | 31.05.25 | Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets | 91:79 | | 12.04.25 | Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints | 99:111 | | 29.06.24 | Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets | 106:80 | | 13.04.24 | Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints | 105:95 | | 09.06.23 | Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets | 85:101 | | 13.05.23 | Otago Nuggets - Wellington Saints | 103:94 |
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