Match Info
NBLDate: 25 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: TSB Bank Arena (Wellington)
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Wellington Saints |
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Southland Sharks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.00 |
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1.72 |
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 |
1.96 |
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1.7 |
Watch |
 |
2.06 |
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1.71 |
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 |
2.07 |
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1.67 |
Watch |
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2.03 |
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1.69 |
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 |
2.08 |
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1.67 |
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1.95 |
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1.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.76) |
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1.69 ↓
(1.82) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 192.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wellington Saints
45.6% | Southland Sharks
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Saints's form might have worsened.Southland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southland Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Saints than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southland Sharks than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington Saints (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Wellington Saints will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:97 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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7.  Aliir A.
| 5.  Asberry C.
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0.  Davison C.
| 20. Boone K.
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13. Harris H. (C)
| 3. Inger B.
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1. Ingram D.
| 1. Jones R.
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40. Pepper E.
| 33. Timmins S. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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12. Chunga A.
| 13. Bertinshaw D.
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3. Gold S.
| 14. Cooper T.
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15. Hunt J.
| 7. Lee C.
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6.  Munir H.
| 6. Ramage J.
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10. Nonu M.
| 15. Snow R.
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27. Pilcher A.
| 10. Webster Q.
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17. Robertson A.
| 9. Wynyard T.
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| Coaches |
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. Young A.
| . Yim J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 4.Wellington Saints is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Southland Sharks is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Wellington Saints may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington Saints won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1993:1783. (average 99.7:89.2).Including home matches between the teams, Wellington Saints won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1241:1058. (average 103.4:88.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 21.05.26 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 104:90 | | 19.07.25 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 88:83 | | 10.04.25 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 72:93 | | 26.03.25 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 122:83 | | 13.07.24 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 88:78 | | 15.04.24 | Southland Sharks - Wellington Saints | 75:100 | | 21.05.23 | Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks | 100:84 |
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