Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers		Murray State Racers

	1	2
	1.4	3.05
	1.42	2.95
	1.4	3
	1.4	3.08
	1.38	2.98
	1.36	3
	1.41	3.03
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.64)	3.01 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
68.3%

Murray State Racers
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Kentucky Hilltoppers's performance.

Murray State Racers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murray State Racers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Kentucky Hilltoppers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murray State Racers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Murray State Racers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:71

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Western Kentucky could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Murray State have a series of home games.

Western Kentucky will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Western Kentucky won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 308:313 (average 77:78.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Western Kentucky won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 71:64

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.12.24	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Tennessee State Tigers	84:60 ✺
07.12.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	65:79 ✺
30.11.24	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Marshall Thundering Herd	90:82 ✺
26.11.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	87:68 ✺
20.11.24	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Jackson State Tigers	79:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW
- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.12.24	Murray State Racers - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	73:53 ✺
03.12.24	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	63:61 ✺
26.11.24	Murray State Racers - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	79:66 ✺
22.11.24	Murray State Racers - Utah Valley Wolverines	75:77 ✺
20.11.24	Murray State Racers - Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks	79:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.11.23	Murray State Racers - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	81:86
06.12.14	Murray State Racers - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	93:81
21.12.13	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Murray State Racers	71:64
16.12.12	Murray State Racers - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	75:70

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Murray State Racers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide