Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: CRS Hala Zielona Gora (Zielona Góra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Zielona Góra		Toruń

	1	2
	1.36	2.9
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.38	3.26
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.35	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zielona Góra
69.2%

Toruń
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zielona Góra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toruń, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zielona Góra - Toruń Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Maughmer J.	4. Szlachetka M.
13. Szumert J.	11. Langovic A.
10. Fayne P.	77. Kulig D. (C)
3. Mazurczak A. (C)	1. Cousins I.
0. Garrison C. J.	0. Smith A.
Substitutes
12. Cartier P.	7. Brenk A.
40. Lewis C.	8. Kenig M.
6. Majewski M.	12. Kunc A.
7. Sulima Krzysztof .	2. Persons T.
4. Wilson D.	27. Prokopowicz H.
77. Woroniecki M.
Coaches
. Miloszewski A.	. Subotic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zielona Góra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zielona Góra is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1676:1772. (average 83.8:88.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 786:811. (average 87.3:90.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199:192	3
14	Torun	1	0	1	85:104	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
19.03.26	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	76:73 ✺
14.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Zielona Góra	84:66 ✺
05.03.26	Zielona Góra - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	74:75 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	91:67 ✺
21.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Twarde Pierniki Toruń
Polish Basket Liga
22.03.26	Anwil Włocławek - Toruń	87:98 ✺
15.03.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Toruń	77:75 ✺
05.03.26	Czarni Słupsk - Toruń	103:93 OT ✺
17.02.26	Toruń - MOSiR Krosno	112:105 OT ✺
06.02.26	Toruń - Start Lublin	97:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
22.11.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	95:81
30.01.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	83:79
10.10.24	Zielona Góra - Toruń	68:79
11.01.24	Zielona Góra - Toruń	89:110
29.09.23	Toruń - Zielona Góra	85:74
04.02.23	Zielona Góra - Toruń	98:88
13.10.22	Toruń - Zielona Góra	72:89

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