Match Info

Polish Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Sosnowiec (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Śląsk Wrocław		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.5	2.3
	1.59	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.59	2.29
	1.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	2.33 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
60.2%

Zielona Góra
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Śląsk Wrocław will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Zielona Góra will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Kirkwood N.	12. Cartier P.
35. Niziol J. (C)	0. Garrison C. J.
11. Penava A.	32. Maughmer J.
30. Sanon Y.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
7. Urbaniak J.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
Substitutes
31. Coleman-Jones J.	10. Fayne P.
27. Czerniewicz B.	1. Gorenczyk M.
34. Djordjevic S.	40. Lewis C.
3. Kulikowski B.	6. Majewski M.
1. Nunez A.	77. Woroniecki M.
2. Wisniewski A.
Coaches
. Bagatskis A.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk Wrocław won 5.

Recent performances by Śląsk Wrocław have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zielona Góra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Zielona Góra has had a series of away games.

Śląsk Wrocław is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk Wrocław won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1654:1626. (average 82.7:81.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk Wrocław won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 743:705. (average 82.6:78.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Zielona Góra - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław Basketball
Polish Cup Basketball
20.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Dziki Warszawa	91:86 ✺
Eurocup
10.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Cedevita Olimpija	81:114 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
06.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - GTK Gliwice	84:85 ✺
Eurocup
03.02.26	Bahcesehir Koleji - Śląsk Wrocław	80:82 ✺
28.01.26	BCJ Hamburg - Śląsk Wrocław	99:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLLWL
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Cup Basketball
20.02.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	88:94 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
12.02.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Zielona Góra	91:86 ✺
05.02.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Zielona Góra	71:82 ✺
01.02.26	Zielona Góra - GTK Gliwice	98:81 ✺
25.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
02.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	90:85
21.03.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	91:82
15.11.24	Zielona Góra - Śląsk Wrocław	82:88
29.02.24	Zielona Góra - Śląsk Wrocław	76:80
05.11.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	77:66
29.04.23	Zielona Góra - Śląsk Wrocław	67:85
01.01.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	85:78

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