Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 25

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: CRS Hala Zielona Gora (Zielona Góra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Zielona Góra		Czarni Słupsk

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.43
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.44	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zielona Góra
61.9%

Czarni Słupsk
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Czarni Słupsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zielona Góra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Czarni Słupsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zielona Góra will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Garrison C. J.	2. Carter C.
32. Maughmer J.	25. Nowakowski M.
3. Mazurczak A. (C)	3. Penn J.
7. Sulima Krzysztof .	21. Skele A. (C)
13. Szumert J.	18. Tomczak S.
Substitutes
12. Cartier P.	1. Duffy J.
10. Fayne P.	20. Hines S. T.
40. Lewis C.	11. Lambrecht T.
6. Majewski M.	41. Parzenski J.
4. Wilson D.	12. Pluta J.
77. Woroniecki M.	9. Wilczek D.
	8. Zabrocki C.
Coaches
. Miloszewski A.	. Skelin I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 2.

Zielona Góra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Czarni Słupsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zielona Góra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1457:1368. (average 72.9:68.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 763:695. (average 76.3:69.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199:192	3
12	Czarni Slupsk	1	0	1	76:79	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
29.03.26	Zielona Góra - Toruń	88:90 ✺
19.03.26	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	76:73 ✺
14.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Zielona Góra	84:66 ✺
05.03.26	Zielona Góra - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	74:75 ✺
Polish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	91:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Czarni Słupsk
Polish Basket Liga
28.03.26	Czarni Słupsk - Anwil Włocławek	57:68 ✺
19.03.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Czarni Słupsk	75:68 ✺
12.03.26	MOSiR Krosno - Czarni Słupsk	77:91 ✺
05.03.26	Czarni Słupsk - Toruń	103:93 OT ✺
15.02.26	Start Lublin - Czarni Słupsk	101:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
06.12.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	63:95
30.04.25	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	75:77
05.01.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	81:54
13.04.24	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	89:80
17.12.23	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	73:69
30.01.23	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	64:66
06.10.22	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	85:93

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