Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Winners stage

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tectake Arena (Wurzburger)

Referee: Yilmaz Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	s.Oliver Wurzburg		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
			Watch
	1.95	1.9
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.58)	1.87 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

s.Oliver Wurzburg
49.8%

Derthona Basket Tortona
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

s.Oliver Wurzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that s.Oliver Wurzburg's form might have worsened.

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for s.Oliver Wurzburg than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for s.Oliver Wurzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

s.Oliver Wurzburg - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Wurzburg will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Tortona will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tortona: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Jackson J.	4. Gorham J.
5. Klassen O.	14. Kamagate I.
2. Kone B.	2. Kuhse T.
7. Steinbach H.	12. Strautins A.
22. Wank L.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
24. Dawkins A.	13. Baldasso T.
0. Lewis M.	19. Biligha P.
9. Skladanowski C.	7. Candi L.
6. Ugrai M.	11. Denegri D.
55. Williams T.	20. Severini L.
3. Wishart C.	34. Weems K.
	0. Zerini A.
Coaches
. Filipovski S.	. De Raffaele W.

Preview

Wurzburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tortona is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tortona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- s.Oliver Baskets Wurzburg
German BBL
26.01.25	BCJ Hamburg - s.Oliver Wurzburg	68:66 ✺
20.01.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Rasta Vechta	74:86 ✺
11.01.25	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - s.Oliver Wurzburg	96:85 ✺
03.01.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - BG Göttingen	79:78 ✺
30.12.24	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Brose Bamberg	70:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.01.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	67:69 ✺
19.01.25	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	98:106 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.01.25	Peristeri BC - Derthona Basket Tortona	65:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	99:94 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.01.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Peristeri BC	69:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

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