Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Le Colisee (Chalon-sur-Saône)

Referee: Poursanidis G. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Slovakia	Voyo


	Élan Sportif Chalonnais		ALBA Berlin

	1	2
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.41	2.95
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	2.7 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
65.3%

ALBA Berlin
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Élan Sportif Chalonnais's performance.

ALBA Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ALBA Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Sportif Chalonnais than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Élan Sportif Chalonnais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ALBA Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais - ALBA Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Elan Chalon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). ALBA will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elan Chalon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Choupas Y.	17. Agbakoko N.
40. Cuthbertson Z.	5. Griesel S.
8. Hill J.	33. Hundt B.
20. Leray M.	9. Mattisseck J. (C)
25. Mutts J.	11. Wood M.
Substitutes
2. Anochili-Killen O.	34. Bean J.
13. Gaudoux L. (C)	22. Bennefeld N.
1. Nadolny C.	6. Delow M.
0. Naji A.	7. Kayil J.
22. Tonnellier Y.	20. Nufer A.
5. Tucker J.	3. O'Connell A.
	13. Roberts J.
Coaches
. Delord E.	. Calles P.

Preview

Elan Chalon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ALBA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Elan Chalon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elan Chalon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 234:237. (average 78:79).

Including home match between the teams, Elan Chalon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 82:87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
French LNB
06.12.25	Le Mans - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	87:93 ✺
22.11.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Strasbourg	69:75 ✺
15.11.25	Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	78:87 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.11.25	Sabah - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	87:89 ✺
French LNB
08.11.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Dijon	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- ALBA Berlin
German BBL
07.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Skyliners Frankfurt	89:83 ✺
23.11.25	Niners Chemnitz - ALBA Berlin	85:89 ✺
German Cup Basketball
17.11.25	ALBA Berlin - Science City Jena	91:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.11.25	Nymburk - ALBA Berlin	75:88 ✺
German BBL
08.11.25	ALBA Berlin - Mitteldeutscher	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
08.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	76:81
Euroleague
22.11.12	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - ALBA Berlin	82:87
18.10.12	ALBA Berlin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	74:71

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