Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	Žalgiris Kaunas		CSKA Moscow

	1	2
	3.8	1.27	Watch
	3.7	1.28
	3.6	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.88	1.29
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.74	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.89)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
26%

CSKA Moscow
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris Kaunas's form might have worsened.

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Žalgiris Kaunas - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 12 - 30.8%). CSKA will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 54.7% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:82

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

CSKA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Žalgiris have a series of home games.

In this match CSKA is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1487-1574.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 615-653.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
05.12.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Lietkabelis	84:70 ✺
Euroleague
02.12.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Baskonia	72:68 ✺
26.11.21	Barcelona - Žalgiris Kaunas	96:73 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
21.11.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Juventus Utena	101:77 ✺
Euroleague
19.11.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe	86:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- CSKA Moscow Basketball
VTB United League
05.12.21	Lokomotiv-Kuban - CSKA Moscow	69:88 ✺
Euroleague
02.12.21	CSKA Moscow - Panathinaikos	97:77 ✺
25.11.21	CSKA Moscow - Bayern München	77:74 ✺
19.11.21	Baskonia - CSKA Moscow	74:80 ✺
17.11.21	Barcelona - CSKA Moscow	81:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
13.01.21	CSKA Moscow - Žalgiris Kaunas	83:73
17.11.20	Žalgiris Kaunas - CSKA Moscow	78:87
05.12.19	CSKA Moscow - Žalgiris Kaunas	85:82 OT (69:69)
04.01.19	Žalgiris Kaunas - CSKA Moscow	79:84
21.11.18	CSKA Moscow - Žalgiris Kaunas	99:97 OT (86:86)
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.18	CSKA Moscow - Žalgiris Kaunas	73:81
Euroleague
20.05.18	CSKA Moscow - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:79

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