Match Info

Euroleague - Round 13

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Referee: Attard B. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.3	3.65	Watch
	1.3	3.7
	1.29	3.76
	1.37	3.07	Watch
	1.31	3.67	Watch
	1.28	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	3.6 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
73.3%

Baskonia
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Žalgiris Kaunas - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Baskonia will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Baskonia (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 158.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7.5, OT - Baskonia (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Baskonia (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Tubelis A.	7. Kurucs R.
8. Brazdeikis I.	6. Diallo H.
7. Wright M.	18. Diop K.
92. Ulanovas E.	4. Villar R.
3. Francisco S.	2. Simmons K.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	1. Diakite M.
27. Daubaris D.	25. Frisch C.
12. Lo M.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
4. Mikalauskas K.	3. Nowell M.
17. Rubstavicius M.	8. Sedekerskis T.
91. Sirvydis D.	10. Spagnolo M.
14. Sleva D.
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of away games.

In this match, Žalgiris is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1511:1583. (average 75.6:79.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 767:791. (average 76.7:79.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
23.11.25	Lietkabelis - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:81 ✺
Euroleague
20.11.25	Real Madrid - Žalgiris Kaunas	100:99 ✺
14.11.25	Dubai - Žalgiris Kaunas	95:89 ✺
12.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Žalgiris Kaunas	95:78 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
09.11.25	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Žalgiris Kaunas	68:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLW
- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
23.11.25	Baskonia - Bilbao Basket	110:91 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Baskonia - Bayern München	95:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:83 ✺
Euroleague
13.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Baskonia	89:83 ✺
11.11.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Baskonia	114:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
06.03.25	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	66:65
28.11.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Baskonia	70:83
21.03.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Baskonia	94:76
19.10.23	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:99
10.02.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Baskonia	79:75
23.11.22	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	93:73
01.04.22	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	96:79

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