Match Info

CFL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: McMahon Stadium (Calgary, AB)


	Calgary Stampeders		BC Lions

	1	2
	1.82	1.91
	1.83	1.97
	1.88	1.98
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.84	1.94
	1.87	1.95
	1.84	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.11)	1.95 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Stampeders
51.6%

BC Lions
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Stampeders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calgary Stampeders's performance.

BC Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BC Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Stampeders than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calgary Stampeders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Lions than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lions (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - BC Lions (2.25) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion - CFL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.

Calgary has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lions is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Lions could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Calgary has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lions in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 525:553 (averaging 26.3:27.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 229:215 goals (averaging 28.6:26.9 per game).

Outrights of CFL for now

BC Lions: 16.74% Calgary Stampeders: 3.82%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Stampeders
CFL
10.10.26	Winnipeg Blue Bombers - Calgary Stampeders	33:28 ✺
02.10.26	Saskatchewan Roughriders - Calgary Stampeders	31:37 ✺
26.09.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Calgary Stampeders	31:45 ✺
19.09.26	Calgary Stampeders - Ottawa RedBlacks	40:38 ✺
12.09.26	Edmonton Elks - Calgary Stampeders	53:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL
- BC Lions
CFL
09.10.26	BC Lions - Ottawa RedBlacks	41:20 ✺
03.10.26	Toronto Argonauts - BC Lions	17:24 ✺
25.09.26	BC Lions - Saskatchewan Roughriders	31:24 ✺
12.09.26	BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes	48:29 ✺
04.09.26	Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions	37:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CFL
13.08.26	Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions	26:30
27.06.26	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	33:41
01.11.25	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	33:30
04.10.25	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	38:24
19.09.25	Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions	23:52
19.05.25	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	16:26
04.10.24	BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders	32:15

Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide