The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Edmonton Elks 69.2%
Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edmonton Elks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Winnipeg Blue Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Elks than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Edmonton Elks that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Blue Bombers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Winnipeg Blue Bombers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Edmonton Elks - Winnipeg Blue Bombers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Winnipeg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Winnipeg has had a series of home games.
In this match, Edmonton is the team to beat.
We predict that Edmonton will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 383:613. (average 19.2:30.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 203:285. (average 20.3:28.5).
Outrights of CFL for now
Edmonton Elks: 20.69% Winnipeg Blue Bombers: 4.99%