Match Info

CFL

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: TD Place Stadium (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Ottawa RedBlacks		BC Lions

	1	2
	4.25	1.2
	3.5	1.29
	4.04	1.27
	3.42	1.28	Watch
	3.85	1.24
	3.65	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.06)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa RedBlacks
24.9%

BC Lions
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa RedBlacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ottawa RedBlacks's form might have worsened.

BC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa RedBlacks than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa RedBlacks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Lions than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ottawa RedBlacks - BC Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:35

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Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 4 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

Ottawa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lions is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lions is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 450:627. (average 22.5:31.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 228:252. (average 25.3:28).

Outrights of CFL for now

BC Lions: 15.43%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa RedBlacks
CFL
20.08.26	Montreal Alouettes - Ottawa RedBlacks	46:16 ✺
14.08.26	Winnipeg Blue Bombers - Ottawa RedBlacks	33:21 ✺
07.08.26	Saskatchewan Roughriders - Ottawa RedBlacks	42:20 ✺
31.07.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Montreal Alouettes	13:34 ✺
19.07.26	Ottawa RedBlacks - Winnipeg Blue Bombers	34:36 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Lions
CFL
23.08.26	BC Lions - Saskatchewan Roughriders	30:16 ✺
13.08.26	Calgary Stampeders - BC Lions	26:30 ✺
08.08.26	BC Lions - Hamilton Tiger Cats	27:24 ✺
30.07.26	Winnipeg Blue Bombers - BC Lions	19:35 ✺
25.07.26	BC Lions - Toronto Argonauts	12:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CFL
12.09.25	BC Lions - Ottawa RedBlacks	38:27
05.09.25	Ottawa RedBlacks - BC Lions	34:33
31.08.24	BC Lions - Ottawa RedBlacks	38:12
24.08.24	Ottawa RedBlacks - BC Lions	34:27
16.09.23	BC Lions - Ottawa RedBlacks	41:37
30.09.22	BC Lions - Ottawa RedBlacks	34:19
30.06.22	Ottawa RedBlacks - BC Lions	31:34

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